实用医学杂志 ›› 2023, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (14): 1835-1841.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1006⁃5725.2023.14.019

• 医学检查与临床诊断 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于临床-超声影像组学列线图模型预测孕晚期早产的价值 

周汇恩 陈婉明 王梦蝶 罗斯佳 陈佳琳 何堃 过新民   

  1. 广州市红十字会医院 暨南大学附属广州红十字会医院超声医学科(广州 510240) 
  • 出版日期:2023-07-25 发布日期:2023-07-25
  • 通讯作者: 过新民 E⁃mail:guo8186@126.com
  • 基金资助:

The Value of Nomogram Model Based on Clinical and Ultrasound Radiomics for Predicting Preterm Birth 

ZHOU Huien,CHEN Wanming,WANG Mengdie,LUO Sijia,CHEN Jialin,HE Kun,GUO Xinmin.    

  1. Guangzhou Red Cross Hospital of Jinan University,Guangzhou 510240,China 
  • Online:2023-07-25 Published:2023-07-25
  • Contact: GUO Xinmin E⁃mail:guo8186@126.com
  • Supported by:
    广州市市校联合资助(高水平大学)基础研究项目 (编号:202201020526) 

摘要: 目的 探讨经阴道超声影像组学特征和临床危险因素构建的联合模型及其列线图在孕 晚期预测早产中的价值。方法 选取 2017 年 1 月至 2022 年 12 月就诊于本院定期产检妊娠期的 117 例孕 28+0 ~ 36+6 周孕妇作为观察对象,收集经阴道超声宫颈标准切面图像,对其进行影像组学特征进行分析,并通过降维筛选去除冗余特征、使用逻辑回归建立超声影像组学模型,结合临床资料,在训练组构建组合模 型的列线图。比较各模型预测早产的效能。结果 共筛选 14 个超声影像组学特征,构建了在孕晚期评估 早产风险的超声影像组学预测模型,模型训练集 AUC 为:0.841[95% CI(0.761,0.921)],验证集为:0.824 [95%CI(0.616,1.00)]。联合年龄、宫颈管长度建立联合模型,模型训练集 AUC 为 0.908[95%CI(0.850, 0.966)],验证集为 0.892[95%CI(0.693,0.100)]。决策曲线显示在 0.2 ~ 0.8 阈值内联合模型的临床实用性优于超声影像组学模型。校准曲线显示联合模型准确度优于超声影像组学模型。结论 基于超声图像 特征及临床特征构建的影像组学模型能预测早产发生的风险,可为临床诊治提供参考依据。 

关键词: 宫颈, 经阴道超声, 早产, 超声影像组学, 逻辑回归

Abstract:

Objective To investigate the value of a combined model constructed by transvaginal ultra⁃ sound radiomics and clinical risk factors and its nomogram in predicting preterm birth in late pregnancy. Methods One hundred and seventeen pregnant women from 28 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks of gestation who attended regular maternity checkups at our hospital from January 2017 to December 2022 were selected as observation subjects,and transvaginal ultrasound cervical standard section images were collected and analyzed for radiomics features,and ultrasound radiomics models were constructed by removing redundant features through dimensionality reduction screening , using logistic regression,and combining clinical data in the training group The nomogram of the combined models. To compare the efficacy of each model in predicting preterm birth. Results A total of 14 ultrasound radiomics features were screened to construct an ultrasound radiomics prediction model for assessing the risk of preterm delivery in late pregnancy with a model training set AUC of 0.841[95%CI(0.761,0.921)]and a validation set of 0.824[95%CI(0.616,1.00)]. The combined model was established by combining age and cervical length,and the AUC of the model training set was 0.908[95%CI(0.850,0.966)]and the validation set was 0.892[95% CI (0.693,0.100)]. The decision curves showed that the clinical utility of the combined model was better than that of the ultrasound radiomics model within the 0.2 ~ 0.8 threshold. Calibration curves showed that the combined model was more accurate than the ultrasound radiomics model. Conclusion The radiomics based on ultrasound features and clinical characteristics can predict the risk of preterm birth,which can provide a reference basis for clinical diagnosis and treatment. 

Key words: cervix , transvaginal ultrasound , preterm birth , ultrasound radiomics , logistic regression