收稿日期: 2025-10-13
网络出版日期: 2026-01-14
基金资助
河南省医学科技攻关计划项目(LHGJ20230891)
Predictive value of yolk sac size morphology and inner diameter changes in early pregnancy on early abortion
Received date: 2025-10-13
Online published: 2026-01-14
目的 分析妊娠早期阶段卵黄囊大小形态学及内径变化对早期流产的预测价值。 方法 选择2023年1月至2024年12月医院收治的120例早期妊娠孕妇作为研究对象(最终纳入118例,失访2例),根据妊娠结局分成正常妊娠组(n = 82)和早期流产组(n = 36)。比较两组基线资料、卵黄囊参数,采用多因素logistic回归分析影响早期流产的危险因素,并通过ROC曲线评估妊娠早期阶段卵黄囊大小形态学及内径变化对早期流产的预测价值。 结果 早期流产组年龄≥ 35岁比例显著高于正常妊娠组(P < 0.05);早期流产组各孕周的卵黄囊直径显著大于正常妊娠组(P < 0.05);早期流产组卵黄囊缺失比例、卵黄囊直径异常比例、卵黄囊形状异常比例均显著高于正常妊娠组(P < 0.05);多因素logistic回归分析显示,年龄≥ 35岁(OR = 1.664,95%CI:1.272 ~ 2.176)、卵黄囊缺失(OR = 23.927,95%CI:9.561 ~ 59.876)、卵黄囊直径异常(OR = 30.114,95%CI:13.092 ~ 69.269)、卵黄囊形状异常(OR = 16.844,95%CI:6.359 ~ 44.617)是影响早期流产的危险因素;ROC曲线分析显示,卵黄囊形状异常预测早期流产的价值最高(AUC = 0.862),其次为卵黄囊直径异常(AUC = 0.669)、卵黄囊缺失(AUC = 0.611)。 结论 妊娠早期卵黄囊形状异常可作为预测早期流产的重要指标,为早期干预提供科学依据。
魏景蕊 , 刘巧方 , 李友云 , 王珊 , 徐帅 . 妊娠早期阶段卵黄囊大小形态学及内径变化对早期流产的预测价值[J]. 实用医学杂志, 2026 , 42(1) : 152 -156 . DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-5725.2026.01.020
Objective To analyze the predictive value of yolk sac size morphology and inner diameter changes in early pregnancy on early abortion. Methods A total of 120 pregnant women with early pregnancy admitted to the hospital from January 2023 to December 2024 were selected as research subjects (118 cases were finally included and 2 cases were lost to follow-up). According to the pregnancy outcomes, they were divided into normal pregnancy group (n = 82) and early abortion group (n = 36). Baseline data and yolk sac parameters were compared between the two groups. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the risk factors affecting early abortion, and ROC curve was used to evaluate the predictive value of yolk sac size morphology and inner diameter changes in early pregnancy on early abortion. Results The proportion of age ≥ 35 years old in early abortion group was significantly higher than that in the normal pregnancy group (P < 0.05). The yolk sac diameter of each gestational week in early abortion group was significantly larger than that in normal pregnancy group (P < 0.05). The proportion of yolk sac deletion, proportion of abnormal yolk sac diameter and proportion of abnormal yolk sac morphology were significantly higher in early abortion group than those in normal pregnancy group (P < 0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that age ≥ 35 years old (OR = 1.664, 95%CI: 1.272 ~ 2.176), yolk sac deletion (OR = 23.927, 95% CI: 9.561 ~ 59.876), abnormal yolk sac diameter (OR = 30.114, 95%CI: 13.092 ~ 69.269) and abnormal yolk sac morphology (OR = 16.844, 95% CI: 6.359 ~ 44.617) were risk factors for early abortion. ROC curve analysis showed that the abnormal yolk sac morphology had the highest value on predicting early abortion (AUC = 0.862), followed by abnormal yolk sac diameter (AUC = 0.669) and yolk sac deletion (AUC = 0.611). Conclusion The abnormal morphology of yolk sac in early pregnancy can be used as an important indicator to predict early abortion and provide scientific basis for early intervention.
Key words: early abortion; yolk sac; morphology; early pregnancy; predictive value
| [1] | 罗靓,李云,王红彦,等. 抗内皮细胞抗体检测在早期流产中的预测价值[J]. 北京大学学报(医学版),2023,55(6):1039-1044. doi: 10.19723/j.issn.1671-167X.2023.06.013 . |
| [2] | QUENBY S, GALLOS I D, DHILLON-SMITH R K, et al. Miscarriage matters: The epidemiological, physical, psychological, and economic costs of early pregnancy loss[J]. Lancet, 2021, 397(10285):1658-1667. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)00682-6 . |
| [3] | LIU L, ZANG Y, ZHENG H, et al. An AI method to predict pregnancy loss by extracting biological indicators from embryo ultrasound recordings in early pregnancy[J]. Sci Rep, 2025, 15(1):25946. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-11518-5 . |
| [4] | HU H J, SUN J, FENG R, et al. Comparison of the application value of transvaginal ultrasound and transabdominal ultrasound in the diagnosis of ectopic pregnancy[J]. World J Clin Cases, 2023, 11(13):2945-2955. doi: 10.12998/wjcc.v11.i13.2945 . |
| [5] | 张玉麒,周克松,张士权,等. 妊娠18~40周低风险胎儿直肠壶腹部内径与孕周的相关性及参考值探索[J]. 实用医学杂志,2025,41(6):882-888. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-5725. 2025. 06.017 . |
| [6] | 刘超,方亚平,李斌,等. 早孕期经阴道超声联合孕酮、β-绒毛膜促性腺激素检测诊断先兆流产发生价值[J]. 中国计划生育学杂志,2022,30(6):1311-1314. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-8189. 2022.06.020 . |
| [7] | WANG Y, LI T, ZHANG L, et al. The Clinical Value of 3D Ultrasonic Measurement of the Ratio of Gestational Sac Volume to Embryo Volume in IoT-Based Prediction of Pregnancy Outcome[J]. J Healthc Eng, 2021, 2021:6421025. doi: 10.1155/2021/6421025 . |
| [8] | H?USLER J, QUAAS A M, FISCHER M, et al. Novel sonographic reference charts for early pregnancy based on known gestational age[J]. F S Rep, 2024, 6(1):52-59. doi: 10.1016/j.xfre.2024.11.008 . |
| [9] | 中华人民共和国国家卫生健康委员会. 妊娠期妇女体重增长推荐值标准 [S]. 北京:中华人民共和国国家卫生健康委员会,2022. |
| [10] | WANG Y, ZHANG Q, YIN C, et al. Automated prediction of early spontaneous miscarriage based on the analyzing ultrasonographic gestational sac imaging by the convolutional neural network: A case-control and cohort study[J]. BMC Pregnancy Childbirth, 2022, 22(1):621. doi: 10.1186/s12884-022-04936-0 . |
| [11] | SAMMUT L, BEZZINA P, GIBBS V, et al. First-trimester bleeding: Can ultrasound and biochemical developmental markers deepen our understanding of threatened miscarriage?[J]. Radiography (Lond), 2025, 31(5):103024. doi: 10.1016/j.radi. 2025. 103024 . |
| [12] | KAELIN AGTEN A, XIA J, SERVANTE J A, et al. Routine ultrasound for fetal assessment before 24 weeks' gestation[J]. Cochrane Database Syst Rev, 2021, 8(8):CD014698. doi: 10. 1002/14651858.CD014698 . |
| [13] | 戴小颖,沈亚,谭小方. 基于超声子宫内膜容受性参数和淋巴细胞免疫表型对复发性流产再孕早期流产的影响因素分析[J]. 实用医学杂志,2024,40(10):1402-1406. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-5725.2024.10.012 . |
| [14] | TAN S, PAN P, YANG Z, et al. Study on the correlation between the ultrasound phenotype and copy number variation of abnormal embryo in spontaneous abortion[J]. J Obstet Gynaecol Res, 2021, 47(11):3779-3788. doi: 10.1111/jog.14987 . |
| [15] | MARIN M, P?TRU C L, MANOLEA M M, et al. Can Ultrasound Analysis of the Yolk Sac be a Predictor of Pregnancy Outcome?[J]. Curr Health Sci J, 2021, 47(4):547-552. doi: 10.12865/CHSJ.47.04.10 . |
| [16] | 王蕊,纪莉,李静. 经阴道超声测量参数联合Th17/Treg对孕6~10周孕妇稽留流产的预测价值[J]. 影像科学与光化学,2025,43(5):139-146,152. doi: 10.7517/issn.1674-0475. 2025. 05.19 . |
| [17] | DETTI L, ROMAN R A, GOEDECKE P J, et al. Pilot study establishing a nomogram of yolk sac growth during the first trimester of pregnancy[J]. J Obstet Gynaecol Res, 2020, 46(2):223-228. doi: 10.1111/jog.14173 . |
| [18] | 王菊. 超声检测联合血栓弹力图预测早期流产并指导抗凝治疗的临床价值[J]. 中国实用医药,2024,19(18):19-23. doi: 10.14163/j.cnki.11-5547/r.2024.18.005 . |
| [19] | GAD H F, SALMAN M M, KOLEIB M H, et al. Correlation between Diameter of Yolk Sac on Transvaginal Ultrasonography at 6-12 Weeks of Gestation and Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes[J]. JBRA Assist Reprod, 2024, 28(1):47-53. doi: 10.5935/1518-0557.20230052 . |
| [20] | DOUBILET P M, PHILLIPS C H, DURFEE S M, et al. Fourfold Improved Odds of a Good First Trimester Outcome Once a Yolk Sac Is Seen in Early Pregnancy[J]. J Ultrasound Med, 2022, 41(11):2835-2840. doi: 10.1002/jum.15971 . |
| [21] | WAN O Y K, CHAN S S C, CHUNG J P W, et al. External validation of a simple scoring system to predict pregnancy viability in women presenting to an early pregnancy assessment clinic[J]. Hong Kong Med J, 2020, 26(2):102-110. doi: 10.12809/hkmj198276 . |
| [22] | SHAHIN A, ELMASRY M, GAD M. Yolk sac size and shape, gestational sac diameter, and embryonic heart rate as prognostic factors of first-trimester pregnancy outcomes[J].Menoufia Med J, 2022, 35(2):776-781. doi: 10.1016/j.ejogrb.2007.06.023 . |
| [23] | HEWIDY M, MOHESEN M, ALI H A A. Size and Shape of yolk sac as a predictor of pregnancy outcome[J]. Egyptian J Med Res, 2022,3(3):65-71. doi: 10.21608/ejmr.2022.252437 . |
| [24] | SUGUNA B, SUKANYA K. Yolk sac size & shape as predictors of first trimester pregnancy outcome: A prospective observational study[J]. J Gynecol Obstet Hum Reprod, 2019, 48(3):159-164. doi: 10.1016/j.jogoh.2018.10.016 . |
| [25] | 程玉珊,高劲松,高丽丽,等.孕早期碘营养与甲状腺功能及妊娠结局相关性研究[J].实用妇产科杂志,2024,40(10):823-827. |
/
| 〈 |
|
〉 |